Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000107 0.000117 0.000129 0.000142 0.000157 0.000172 0.000191
2026-01-11 0.000085 0.000100 0.000118 0.000140 0.000166 0.000198 0.000237
2026-01-18 0.000072 0.000090 0.000112 0.000140 0.000177 0.000223 0.000285
2026-01-25 0.000063 0.000081 0.000105 0.000138 0.000183 0.000242 0.000326
2026-02-01 0.000056 0.000075 0.000101 0.000138 0.000190 0.000262 0.000370
2026-02-08 0.000050 0.000069 0.000096 0.000136 0.000194 0.000277 0.000407
2026-02-15 0.000045 0.000064 0.000091 0.000133 0.000196 0.000289 0.000442
2026-02-22 0.000042 0.000061 0.000089 0.000134 0.000204 0.000311 0.000493
2026-03-01 0.000039 0.000059 0.000088 0.000136 0.000213 0.000336 0.000551
2026-03-08 0.000036 0.000055 0.000084 0.000133 0.000214 0.000346 0.000586
2026-03-15 0.000033 0.000051 0.000080 0.000128 0.000211 0.000351 0.000613
2026-03-22 0.000031 0.000049 0.000078 0.000129 0.000218 0.000371 0.000668
2026-03-29 0.000029 0.000047 0.000077 0.000130 0.000225 0.000395 0.000734
2026-04-05 0.000027 0.000045 0.000074 0.000128 0.000228 0.000411 0.000787
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000043 0.000073 0.000129 0.000235 0.000435 0.000860
2026-04-19 0.000024 0.000041 0.000070 0.000127 0.000237 0.000449 0.000916
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000039 0.000069 0.000127 0.000242 0.000471 0.000988
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000037 0.000066 0.000124 0.000243 0.000484 0.001044
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000035 0.000064 0.000122 0.000242 0.000493 0.001095
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000034 0.000063 0.000123 0.000250 0.000521 0.001190
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000063 0.000125 0.000259 0.000555 0.001305
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000122 0.000258 0.000563 0.001357
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000118 0.000254 0.000564 0.001393